What we know – and what we don't – about the Lebanon-Israel deal


Weeks of US-mediated talks between Lebanon and Israel culminated on Friday with a framework agreement aimed at ending the conflict between Hezbollah and Israel .

The agreement would see Israel gradually ending its occupation of the south in return for the Lebanese army disarming the Shia group.

But it does not commit Israel to withdraw its forces from the country or prevent it from launching further attacks, which since 2 March have killed more than 4,200 people and displaced a fifth of the population.

War broke out between Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah again after the US and Israel attacked Iran and killed Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Since then, Israeli forces have decimated large parts of the south and occupied a fifth of the country's territory. What's in the agreement? The agreement commits Lebanon to the "complete and verified disarmament of all non-state armed groups" in the country and ensuring they have no military or security role.

"The 'framework' reached today with Israel under American sponsorship aims to achieve Israel's withdrawal from all Lebanese territories," Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam wrote on social media.

The agreement describes a "reciprocal and sequenced process" that would see Israeli forces gradually withdraw from the south as the Lebanese army disarms non-state groups - including and particularly Hezbollah - and destroys their infrastructure.

It outlines a system of " pilot zones " where the Lebanese army will "gradually assume full and effective security responsibility". Civilians displaced by Israeli attacks would only be allowed to return to their homes after the Lebanese army is in full control of these areas.

The Lebanese and Israeli armies have agreed on two initial zones, though the agreement does not specify where they are or when Israeli forces would withdraw.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said one of the zones would be north of the Litani River and one south of it. Neither are a part of the original "security zone" occupied by Israeli troops.

"We are maintaining the original security zone … we are not allowing Hezbollah, nor the Lebanese population to enter that area," he said in a video statement Friday. What isn't? The details about how this process will be carried out and over what timeframe do not appear to have been finalised.

The agreement says that all "requisite measures, security arrangements, and verification mechanisms" will be spelled out in a separate Security Annex that will be developed alongside the US.

Though the framework declares that Israel has "no territorial ambitions" in the country, it does not explicitly commit it to withdrawing after Hezbollah is disarmed.

Instead, it says that the "dismantlement" of armed groups, as well as "additional security arrangements", will "eliminate any future need for IDF military action or presence in Lebanon".

Far-right ministers in the Israeli government have called for a long-term occupation of southern Lebanon irrespective of Hezbollah's status.

"We are there until Hezbollah disarms, and I think also beyond that, because we need defendable borders," Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich said this week. What are they saying? US and Lebanese officials announced the agreement with caution, emphasising that efforts to end the war remain at an early stage.

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio described it as the "beginning of the beginning".

“There is a lot of work ahead,” he said. “Today is the first step. The first step is sometimes the hardest one."

Meanwhile, Lebanon's President Joseph Aoun called it a "first step toward restoring the Lebanese state's full and undiminished sovereignty over all of its territory".

Israeli leaders were quick to claim a victory.

"Iran is out, Hezbollah is out, and the road to peace between Israel and Lebanon is in," Israel's ambassador to the US Yechiel Leiter said.

Netanyahu described the deal as a "major achievement".

"The most important thing is that, first and foremost, Israel remains in the security zone in southern Lebanon," he said.

"We will maintain it as long as Hezbollah has not been disarmed, as long as there is a threat to the State of Israel." How has Hezbollah reacted? Hezbollah, which was not invited to the talks, denounced the agreement and vowed to resist any moves to take away its weapons.

Hassan Fadlallah, an influential Hezbollah MP, said that an attempt by the Lebanese army to disarm the group would lead to "civil war".

Hezbollah "will not allow the authorities to destroy Lebanon," he told Al Mayadeen.

Earlier on Friday, the group's leader Naim Qassem had demanded the "unconditional" withdrawal of Israeli forces.

Supporters of the group took to the streets in Beirut on Friday night to protest the agreement. What's happening on the ground? The Israeli military has levelled Shia-majority towns and villages close to the border and depopulated swathes of southern Lebanon, causing the country's largest displacement crisis in decades. Some 1.2 million people have been displaced by Israeli attacks, around a fifth of the country's population.

It currently occupies around a fifth of the country and has gradually expanded its so-called "security zone".

A US-brokered ceasefire last week reduced the intensity of the fighting, though Israel has continued to bomb the south. It has also struck Beirut and areas of the eastern Bekaa Valley in recent weeks.

In the hours ahead of the talks, two people were killed in an Israeli strike in the town of Mayfadoun. Israel also dropped leaflets on the town of Al-Mansouri telling its residents to flee.

Strikes continued on Saturday morning after the agreement was signed, with Lebanese media reporting a drone attack in the town of Nabatieh al-Fawqa.

Israeli forces have also continued their attempts to capture the strategic Ali al-Taher ridge, east of Nabatieh, which Israel claims is the site of a major underground Hezbollah military base.

The UN said this week that more than 11,000 buildings have been completely destroyed and estimated the cost of reconstruction at almost $1.4 billion.

Published: Modified: Back to Voices