A possible Israel-Iran war

The current international fears over the threat Iran poses with its NUCLEAR capabilities and intentions are a result of the repetitive claims by the American PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH, echoed by Israel.

Even acknowledging Bush’ rhetorics is a rhetoric. It’s been recently revealed that the Israeli armed forces received orders from SHARON's government to ready plans for a possible military strike against the Islamic republic targeting its nuclear sites by the end of March 2006.

According to Israeli Defence sources, the Jewish state is planning to attack Iran by the end of March to be the “point of no return” after which Iran will have the technical expertise to enrich uranium in sufficient quantities to build a nuclear warhead in two to four years.

Aharon Zeevi Farkash, the Israeli military intelligence chief, had previously warned the Knesset, saying that “if by the end of March the international community is unable to refer the Iranian issue to the United Nations Security Council, then we can say the international effort has run its course.”

By buying its first spy satellite and anti-missile defenses from Russia, Iran is gaining a retaliatory capacity in long-range missiles, perhaps with chemical or biological warheads, an article published on Times of London states.

Some may suggest that the Times story is false, but it doesn’t seem likely. The “point of no return” factors seem to be objectively true, although it is difficult to imagine how Israel can implement it.

Iran has been readying plans to defend its nuclear facilities, in the wake of repetitive Israeli threats to launch a military strike against Tehran, repeating what it did in IRAQ in 1981, bombing Osirak, a 40 MW light water nuclear materials testing reactor, with the help of French intelligence, although France helped Iraq build the reactor.

Contrary to what Israel’s rhetoric says, claiming of being able to carry out surprise attack on Iranian targets, defense sources assert that it won’t be easy, despite the fact that Israel has been monitoring Iran’s nuclear development using a signals listening station in Northern Iraq, also with the help of U.S. government. That is either a damaging leak, or a signal to Iran that the U.S. and Israel are in this together.

On the other hand, Iran is capable enough of striking U.S. naval forces stationed in the Gulf region. The Times article, moreover, suggests that agents from the United States, Russia, Turkey, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, the Gulf States, Egypt, and even the Europeans could be aiding Israel by spying on Iran’s nuclear program, adding that in case Israel carried out its threat it will be a large and sustained allied attack.

The Times article added that the U.S. Navy and Special Forces will join the Israeli Army in striking Iran, using cruise missiles stealth aircraft to carry out night missions- And that could be for one reason, that Israel is simply not willing to lose its might military and face such a large scale military confrontation alone.

A powerful combined military force, with the U.S. support will be needed to avoid the risk of a larger war, in which more Middle East countries would engage in.

Iran, which unlike Israel has signed the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, had on many occasions offered assurances that its nuclear program is mainly aimed at civilian purposes, to meet the rising demand of energy in the country.

But this didn’t save the Islamic Republic, under mounting pressure from several European nations, Israel and the U.S. from facing the threat of being referred to the UN Security Council for possible sanctions, bringing the grim future similar to that of Iraq under the rule of SADDAM HUSSEIN when the UN imposed sanctions against the country, which gave way to corruption and rise in poverty rates.